EP
EPR PROPERTIES (EPR)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 was steady with modest top-line growth and stronger per-share earnings: revenue grew 1.0% YoY to $182.3M, FFOAA/share rose 5.4% YoY to $1.37, and AFFO/share increased 7.8% YoY to $1.39 . Management raised FY25 FFOAA/share guidance to $5.05–$5.13 (from $5.00–$5.16) and tightened investment/disposition guidance ranges .
- Results beat S&P Global consensus: GAAP EPS and normalized EPS outperformed, and revenue/EBITDA were modest beats. Management cited higher percentage rents (notably Regal) and rent escalators, partly offset by a $9.1M provision for credit losses related to a single $6M mortgage and macro CECL effects . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Balance sheet remains conservative: Net debt/Adjusted EBITDAre improved to 4.7x (from 5.0x YoY) and Net debt/Gross assets to 38% (from 39% YoY); interest and fixed-charge coverage at 4.2x and 3.6x, respectively .
- 2026 set up for acceleration: EPR highlighted a deep, actionable experiential pipeline (90–120 days), bullish fitness & wellness, and capacity to deploy ~$400–$500M in 2026 without Genting/Catskills proceeds; Genting viewed as optional deleveraging/dry powder, not required to execute the plan .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
- What Went Well
- FFOAA/AFFO strength and guidance raise: “We are pleased to report a 5.4% increase in FFO as adjusted per share… and an increase at the midpoint in our FFO as adjusted guidance” .
- Portfolio stability and box office tailwinds: Consolidated coverage ~2.0x; management expects a robust Q4 and a new post-COVID high for 2025; percentage rent uplift from Regal .
- Capital recycling + liquidity: $19.3M Q3 dispositions with $4.6M gains; $133.8M YTD dispositions; no maturities until Aug-2026; revolver $379M drawn on $1B facility .
- What Went Wrong
- Credit provision and mortgage reserve: Provision for credit losses was $9.1M, including a full reserve on a single $6M mortgage; CECL macro updates contributed to the charge .
- Higher G&A run-rate: G&A rose to $14.0M vs $11.9M prior-year on incentive and non-cash share-based comp .
- Seasonal 4Q step-down: Management reminded that 4Q FFOAA/share will be lower than 3Q due to seasonal operating property exposure (Cartwright hotel/waterpark, RV JVs) .
Financial Results
Quarterly results (oldest → newest)
Year-over-year (Q3)
Segment/Portfolio Mix (as % of Annualized Adjusted EBITDAre)
Key KPIs and Credit Metrics
Non-GAAP notes: FFOAA/AFFO exclude items including $9.1M credit loss provision and Q3 gains on sale ($4.6M) per reconciliation .
Guidance Changes
Dividend: Monthly dividend is $0.295/share (annualized $3.54); Q3 total declared $0.885/share; AFFO payout 64% .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We are pleased to report a 5.4% increase in FFO as adjusted per share versus the same quarter last year and an increase at the midpoint in our FFO as adjusted guidance for the current year.” — CEO Greg Silvers .
- “Our third quarter consolidated coverage remains strong at 2.0… We anticipate a robust fourth quarter and expect 2025 to set a new post-Covid high. The continued recovery of the box office has led to a significant increase in percentage rent from our Regal lease.” — CEO .
- “We… made our first investment with the high-end Canadian fitness firm Altea Active… approximately $20 million in mortgage financing… We anticipate continuing to increase our investment spending cadence in the coming quarters… especially bullish on the fitness and wellness space.” — CIO Greg Zimmerman .
- “Provision for credit losses, net, was $9.1 million for the quarter… fully reserving one mortgage note receivable for $6 million… changes in our estimated current expected credit losses, mostly due to macroeconomic conditions.” — CFO Mark Peterson .
- “Our net debt to annualized adjusted EBITDAre was 4.9x… Net debt to gross assets was 38%… AFFO payout ratio of 64%… We plan to finalize our new ATM equity program in Q4… opportunistic use only.” — CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- Credit provisioning: Management reserved a $6M mortgage tied to a small tenant and cited CECL macro inputs as drivers of the $9.1M provision .
- 2026 deployment scope/leverage: EPR can deploy ~$400–$500M in 2026 and remain below the midpoint of leverage range without Genting; any Genting/Catskills proceeds would further delever by ~0.3x and increase dry powder .
- Pipeline and competition: Larger ($100M+) opportunities across several verticals; cap rates stable; EPR remains competitive given granular, relationship-driven sourcing especially for $25–$75M bespoke deals .
- Altea Active mortgage: ~20-year mortgage structure (synthetic lease-like), chosen for Canadian tax/FX efficiency; yields comparable to U.S. .
Estimates Context
Q3 2025 results vs S&P Global consensus
Notes: Company reports EBITDAre/Adjusted EBITDAre; S&P Global “EBITDA” may differ in definition. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Quality print with beats on EPS/revenue/EBITDA vs S&P consensus and a guidance raise; stronger percentage rent (Regal) and rent escalators were key drivers, partially offset by a one-off CECL-driven $9.1M provision . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Setup into Q4 is constructive: management expects a robust box office slate (Zootopia 2, Wicked, Avatar) and a new post-COVID high for 2025; percentage rent leverage should persist near term .
- 2026 deployment optionality: Pipeline actionable within 90–120 days; company can deploy ~$400–$500M in 2026 while staying within leverage targets even without Genting/Catskills proceeds; any proceeds would further delever .
- Balance sheet strength and flexibility: Net debt/Adj EBITDAre at 4.7x; interest/fixed-charge coverage at 4.2x/3.6x; ATM planned only as an opportunistic tool; no maturities until Aug-2026 .
- Dividend covered: $0.295/month ($3.54 annualized) with 64% AFFO payout in Q3, providing income support while capital recycling and growth investments continue .
- Watch items: Elevated G&A (incentive and non-cash comp) and CECL volatility; seasonality to weigh on Q4 per-share earnings (normal pattern) .
- Stock narrative: Guidance raise, pipeline visibility, leverage capacity, and Q4 percentage rent tailwind are likely the key positive catalysts; CECL/provision noise and seasonality remain tactical considerations .
Supporting detail and additional data
- Q3 revenue: $182.3M; rental revenue +$6.2M YoY; percentage rents $7.0M vs $5.9M YoY .
- Dispositions: $19.3M proceeds, $4.6M gains; YTD $133.8M; FY disposition guide raised to $150–$160M .
- Liquidity: $13.7M cash; $379M drawn on $1B revolver; SOFR add-on removed (–10 bps) .
- Portfolio: 330 properties; experiential 94% of total investments; wholly-owned 99% leased/operated .